Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.198849 0.226214 0.255570 0.289358 0.327123 0.367985 0.415494
2026-01-04 0.165307 0.202464 0.244962 0.296992 0.358791 0.429652 0.516857
2026-01-11 0.139028 0.181597 0.233060 0.299483 0.382528 0.482474 0.611373
2026-01-18 0.120859 0.167188 0.226018 0.305547 0.409497 0.539913 0.714947
2026-01-25 0.107450 0.156565 0.221747 0.313576 0.438410 0.600824 0.826481
2026-02-01 0.093622 0.143275 0.211962 0.312517 0.454260 0.644915 0.918279
2026-02-08 0.082282 0.131842 0.203104 0.311199 0.468721 0.687123 1.009313
2026-02-15 0.072814 0.121854 0.194978 0.309639 0.481957 0.727636 1.099637
2026-02-22 0.066927 0.116537 0.192997 0.316530 0.507383 0.786340 1.218603
2026-03-01 0.060241 0.109089 0.186862 0.316246 0.521574 0.828984 1.316031
2026-03-08 0.054543 0.102558 0.181416 0.316302 0.535850 0.872046 1.415869
2026-03-15 0.049688 0.096876 0.176713 0.316935 0.550706 0.916369 1.519483
2026-03-22 0.045953 0.092887 0.174674 0.322122 0.573796 0.975715 1.651303
2026-03-29 0.043061 0.090101 0.174411 0.330210 0.602104 1.044847 1.802335
2026-04-05 0.039631 0.085886 0.171180 0.332772 0.621107 1.099817 1.933350
2026-04-12 0.037109 0.083131 0.170301 0.339340 0.647265 1.167781 2.088937
2026-04-19 0.035101 0.081166 0.170670 0.348108 0.677701 1.244336 2.262456
2026-04-26 0.032093 0.076765 0.165944 0.346914 0.690038 1.290473 2.386580
2026-05-03 0.029368 0.072629 0.161319 0.345449 0.701603 1.335620 2.510895
2026-05-10 0.026892 0.068734 0.156789 0.343725 0.712409 1.379743 2.635239
2026-05-17 0.025533 0.067204 0.156957 0.351291 0.741174 1.457240 2.821963
2026-05-24 0.023582 0.064052 0.153407 0.350976 0.754592 1.507371 2.961729
2026-05-31 0.021840 0.061183 0.150186 0.351035 0.768631 1.559159 3.106634